Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Mia Ristic Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Bagaric has slightly outperformed Ristic in second serve points, winning 39.93% compared to Ristic's 38.03%. Could this small edge influence the outcome? Possibly.
• Both players are strong in returning second serves, with Ristic at 49.12% and Bagaric almost matching that at 49%. The comparison for first serve returns is 37.16% for Ristic and 36.24% for Bagaric.
• Under pressure, Ristic has a higher breakpoint save rate of 48.74% compared to Bagaric's 43.23%. How might this affect crucial game moments? This could tip the balance in Ristic's favor.
• Recent match performance shows Ristic winning 63.04% over the last year, while Bagaric's win rate is significantly lower at 32.5%.
• Looking at their best surfaces, both excel on Hard courts, with Ristic winning 68% and Bagaric performing better at 75%.
• Overall, Ristic has played against stronger opponents, with an average opponent rank of 343.74 compared to Bagaric's 411.7.
• In head-to-head encounters, Bagaric won the solo match played, highlighting their prior success with a 6-2, 7-5 win over Ristic.
• While neither player has a successful track record in deciding sets between each other, Ristic edges Bagaric in overall deciding sets with a win rate of 55% versus 47%.
• Ristic has a superior breakpoint conversion rate of 41.61% against Bagaric's 39.74%, which could give Ristic the advantage when critical chances arise.

Editorial Prediction (September 2, 2025, UTC):

Bearing in mind the recent statistics, Ristic appears to have a slight overall edge in several areas despite Bagaric's past win in their head-to-head match. Ristic's stronger performance under pressure and better overall win rate over the past year put them in a favorable position.

Additionally, Ristic's ability to convert breakpoints more efficiently and defend against breakpoints better than Bagaric may influence the pivotal moments of the game.

While previous head-to-head results favor Bagaric, Ristic's recent upward trajectory and competitive edge in several key statistical areas suggest they are likely to win this upcoming match against Bagaric.